Which proposals offer the greatest potential for impact?
Based on today’s information, what impact will our investment have in the long run?
As projects enter, evolve, succeed, or fail, what happens to the Fund’s overall anticipated impact?
Getting good-enough precision with resources and data that are appropriate for the scale of the investment.
|Examples of Depth||IMPACT|
|Perceptible Impact||Reducing congestion; saving 10 minutes/day average commuting time, indefinitely|
|Significant Impact||Boost farm yield 30% for one season|
|Substantial Impact||An additional year of education vs 0|
|Life Saved||A life saved|
A radio campaign can overcome informational barriers to adoption of modern contraception.
Promotional broadcasts are made in randomly selected radio markets. Surveys compare contraceptive uptake to ‘control’ areas.
If the demonstration stage is successful, governments and donors will adopt the innovation.
GIF’s innovations are expected to significantly benefit 83mpeople annually by 2028, making them
6% better off
GIF’s innovations are forecasted to benefit 33m people annually by 2027 while generating an
average impact equivalent to 14% of a person’s annual income.
These estimates are risk-adjusted, taking into consideration that not all innovations will succeed.
These estimates are subject to revision as GIF expands project coverage and improves its risk assessment methodology.